Typhoon FABIAN (IN-FA) StormWatch No. 08

Typhoon FABIAN (IN-FA) has started to move slowly north-northwest towards the East China Sea, after weakening slightly and remaining almost stationary during the past 24 hours.  Its core (eye & eyewall) is now over Miyakojima and Tarama Islands…will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tonight.

Meanwhile, due to the slow movement of this typhoon – it will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) Rains across Ilocos Region & Central Luzon incl. Metro Manila, CaLaBaRZon, and Mindoro through tomorrow.

TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to re-intensify slightly within the next 12 to 24 hours and will begin to accelerate slightly north-northwestward at 14 km/hr, across the open waters of the East China Sea by tomorrow afternoon (Jul 24). 

• Location of Center: Over the northernmost part of the East Taiwan Sea or in the vicinity of Miyakojima and Tarama Islands (near 24.6°N 125.1°E)
• Distance 1: 540 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
• Distance 2: 96 km east-northeast of Ishigakijima, Japan
• Distance 3: 360 km east of Taipei, Taiwan

• TY IN-FA (FABIAN) remains far away from the Philippine Landmass, with no direct effect (except for the Batanes Group of Islands which is under PAGASA Wind Signal No. 01). However, the presence of this system will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) bringing scattered to widespread “on-&-off” to at times continuous rain showers and thunderstorms with squalls carrying 30-60 kph wind gust across the western sections of the country through Saturday, July 24.
• For the next two (2) to three (3) days, TY FABIAN (IN-FA) is forecast to move north-northwest to northwestward across the East China Sea, with decreased wind speeds of 120 km/hr, making landfall along the Eastern Zhejiang Province of China (near Ningbo City) on Sunday afternoon (Jul 25). By Monday afternoon (Jul 26), the cyclone will rapidly weaken into a Tropical Storm (TS) while traversing Zhejiang Province at a very slow westerly pace. The probability of this forecast remains medium to low confidence and was based on the latest (8AM) Typhoon Global Models.
• This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.