Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) Advisory No. 11

Its rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affect Panay Island, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, Metro Manila, and the western portions of Central Luzon. Occasional rain showers with scattered Severe thunderstorms and gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is expected to accelerate NNW @ 24 kph and will cross the western sections of Batangas, Cavite, Bataan, Zambales, & Pangasinan tonight through tomorrow morning (6 PM to 8 AM).  The storm is expected to weaken into a Tropical Depression (TD) after crossing the mountains of Zambales, and by tomorrow afternoon, it will be in the vicinity of the West Philippine Sea, near the coast of Ilocos Provinces.

• Location of Center/Eye: Over Cape Verde Passage, very close to Verde Island (13.6°N 121.1°E)
• Distance 1: 18 km south-southeast of Batangas City, Batangas
• Distance 2: 59 km south-southeast of Tagaytay City, Cavite
• Distance 3: 108 km south of Metro Manila

• Landfall 04:  Now over Batangas – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
• Landfall 05:  Over Bataan, between 11 PM tonight to 12 AM  tomorrow – with High Strike Probability of >90%.

• MiMaRoPa – Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Over the West Philippine Sea, near the coast of Ilocos Provinces…weakens into a TD while moving NNW to Northward…about 111 km WNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur [2PM Jun 03: 17.9°N 119.4°E @ 55 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW 
  
• FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it turns NE-ward while over Southern Taiwan…about 32 km SE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2PM Jun 04: 22.4°N 120.5°E @ 45 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
• SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a remnant low (LPA) while accelerating NE-ward across the East Taiwan Sea – being absorbed into the Mei-yu Front…about 194 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Jun 05: 24.5°N 123.4°E @ 35 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (505 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None