Tropical Disturbance (LPA) AGATON [MEGI] Final Advisory

*This is the Final Advisory on this Tropical Cyclone.

24-hr Outlook: The remnants of AGATON is forecast to weaken further while traversing ESE @ 11 kph across the northern part of Leyte Gulf or along the southern coastline of Eastern Samar. By early tomorrow morning, its remnants will be well over the Philippine Sea, as it becomes a part of  Typhoon Malakas’  large circulation.

Meanwhile, Severe Tropical Storm (STS) MALAKAS has intensified into a 120-kph Typhoon as it remains outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). New forecast suggests the large typhoon may no longer enter PAR as it continues to track north towards the sea south of Japan.

• Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Capoocan, Leyte (near 11.3°N 124.6°E)
• Distance 1: 29 km north of Ormoc City, Leyte
• Distance 2: 40 km west of Tacloban City, Leyte
• Distance 3: 85 km south of Calbayog City, Samar

• N/A, as the system is now overland (Northern Leyte).

• Visayas.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Its remnants emerges over the Philippine Sea as it starts to accelerate ESE-ward, into the large circulation of Typhoon Malakas…about 110 km ESE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM Apr 13: 10.8°N 126.7°E @ 35 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
• THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Just a Shallow LPA as its circulation has merged into the large circulation of Typhoon Malakas while moving across the Philippine Sea…about 822 km ENE of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur [2AM Apr 14: 11.4°N 133.3°E @ 20 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (500 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): None
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  None