TYPHOON QUINTA (MOLAVE) ADVISORY NO. 09Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Monday, 26 October 2020
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 26 October 2020 |
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| Current Status and Outlook | Typhoon QUINTA (MOLAVE) emerges over the West Philippine Sea as it continues to intensify while moving quickly west-northwestward. Stormy weather will continue to prevail across MiMaRoPa and Southern Tagalog Provinces this afternoon, with improving conditions during the evening.
24-hr Outlook: TY QUINTA (MOLAVE) is forecast to turn west-northwest with a decreased forward speed of 25 km/hr, and could become a Category 2 Typhoon later today. It will eventually exit the western border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning (Oct 27). |
| Where is QUINTA (MOLAVE)? | As of 11:00 AM PhT today, October 26…2300 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located over the offshore area of Northwestern Occidental Mindoro (near 13.3°N 119.7°E), about 83 km west of Mamburao, Occidental Mindoro or 68 km southwest of Lubang Island, Occidental Mindoro. |
| How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 140 kph near the center…Gustiness: 165 kph. |
| Past Movement (06 hrs) | West @ 31 kph, towards the West Philippine Sea |
| Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) | :: None |
| What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to >100 mm expected in 24 hrs): >> Mindoro, Batangas, Northern Palawan including Calamian Island Group – this afternoon. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): |
| Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ | :: Coastal Areas of MiMaRoPa & CaLaBaRZon – Today.
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details. |
| 2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** | TUESDAY MORNING: Intensifies to a strong Category 2 Typhoon as it moves out of PAR…about 672 km W of Metro Manila [8AM Oct 27: 13.9°N 114.8°E @ 175 kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Just off the coast of Eastern Vietnam, weakens into a Category 1 Typhoon…about 178 km ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam [8AM Oct 28: 15.1°N 109.5°E @ 150 kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. |
| Other Storm’s Meteorological Info | > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 320 mm [Light to Intense]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 980 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 912 km (Large) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 150 km from the center. |
| Current Summary/Additional Reference Points | Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon October 26, 2020 Location of Center/Eye:Near 13.3°N Lat 119.7°E Lon Distance 1:141 km W of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro Distance 2:105 km WSW of Calatagan, Batangas Distance 3: 135 km WSW of Batangas City, Batangas Distance 4: 109 km WNW of Sablayan, Occidental Mindoro Distance 5: 195 km SW of Metro Manila |
| Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. | |
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.
