Typhoon ODETTE (RAI) Advisory No. 10

24-hr Outlook: The core of TY ODETTE (RAI) is forecast to re-intensify tomorrow while moving across the warm waters of the West Philippine Sea, and will track west-northwestward at a speed of 26 kph. Odette will then be passing within the vicinity of Kalayaan Island Group tomorrow afternoon after exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) late tomorrow morning.

• Location of Center/Eye: Over the southern part of Roxas, Palawan (near 10.2°N 119.2°E)
• Distance 1: 14 km south-southwest of Roxas, Palawan
• Distance 2: 52 km east-northeast of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
• Distance 3: 546 km east of Kalayaan Island Group, Palawan

• None

• Palawan, Sulu Archipelago – Tonight.
• Kalayaan Island Group – Tomorrow.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• Cuyo-Pamalican Area – Tonight.
• Northern & Central Palawan – Tonight.
• Kalayaan Island Group – Tomorrow.

• Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Sulu Archipelago & Palawan including Calamian Group & Kalayaan Island Group.

+Waves of 3 to 5 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the West Philippine Sea, moving WNW, re-intensifies back to a Category 3 Typhoon…about 202 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2AM Dec 18: 10.9°N 117.2°E @ 185 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  HIGH
• SATURDAY AFTERNOON: In the vicinity of Kalayaan Island Group, after exiting PAR…continues to re-intensify…about 515 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2PM Dec 18: 11.4°N 114.3°E @ 195 kph].  Forecast Confidence: HIGH
• SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Just along the eastern coast of Vietnam, starts to move northward while weakening into a Category 1 Typhoon…about 984 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [2PM Dec 19: 13.5°N 110.5°E @ 150 kph].  Forecast Confidence: HIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 955 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (770 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (720 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 120 km outward from the center