Typhoon NENENG (NESAT) Final Advisory

This is the Final Advisory on this Tropical Cyclone. 

24-hr Outlook: NENENG is forecast to become a Category 2 Typhoon and will move on a generally west-southwest direction across the South China Sea, with a decreasing forward speed of 15 km/hr.

• Location of Center/Eye: Along the West Philippine Sea or just along the PAR line (near 19.8°N 119.3°E)
• Distance 1:  209 km northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
• Distance 2: 224 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
• Distance 3: 292 km west-southwest of Basco, Batanes

• None.

• None.

Damaging Winds (expected gusts of 100 kph or more):

• None.

• Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Batanes-Babuyan Island Group, & Ilocos Provinces.

+Waves of 2 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• MONDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens into a Category 2 Typhoon while moving WSW across the South China Sea…about 437 km SSE of Hong Kong, China [2PM Oct 17: 19.1°N 116.4°E @ 165 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  HIGH
• TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Category 1 Typhoon while maintaining its WSW track over the South China Sea…about 504 km S of Hong Kong, China [2PM Oct 18: 17.9°N 113.5°E @ 150 kph].  Forecast Confidence: HIGH
• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it approaches the southern coastal waters of Hainan Island, turns westward…about 118 km SE of Sanya, Hainan, China [2PM Oct 19: 17.6°N 110.4°E @ 120 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 980 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (740 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (515 km)
• Areal Extent of Damaging Wind Gusts (≥100 kph):  100 km outward from the center