Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) Advisory No. 05

Its western rainbands & trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao & Visayas, and is now affecting Southern Bicol. Scattered to widespread rain showers & Severe thunderstorms with gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move northwestward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 18 km/hr…and is expected to make landfall over or near Borongan City, Eastern Samar between 9-11 PM tonight. The storm will slightly weaken while crossing the rugged terrain of Samar Island, and will be in the vicinity of San Jose De Buan, Samar around 2:00 AM tomorrow morning.

• Location of Center/Eye: Along the southwesternmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.1°N 127.7°E)
• Distance 1: 202 km east-northeast of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur
• Distance 2: 242 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
• Distance 3: 239 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar

• Landfall 01:  Over Eastern Samar, between 9 to 11 PM  tonight – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
• Landfall 02:  Over Sorsogon, between 8 to 10 AM  tomorrow (Wed, June 02) – with High Strike Probability of 80-90%. 

• Caraga Region – Today.
• Eastern Visayas – beginning Today.
• Bicol Region – beginning Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Crossing the landmass of Samar Island…passing over the town of San Jose De Buan…weakens slightly…about 35 km NNE of Catbalogan City, Samar [2AM Jun 02: 12.1°N 125.0°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
• THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: In the vicinity of Polillo Island Group after crossing Camarines Provinces, turns NNW-ward towards Aurora…about 32 km NE of Infanta, Quezon [2AM Jun 03: 14.9°N 121.9°E @ 85 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
• FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Emerging along the coastal areas of Ilocos Norte…weakens into a minimal Tropical Storm (TS) after traversing the landmass of Northern Luzon…about 27 km NNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [2AM Jun 04: 18.8°N 120.7°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (660 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (390 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None