Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) Advisory No. 04

Its western trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao & Visayas – where isolated to scattered rain showers & thunderstorms today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move northwestward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea at a decreased forward speed of 13 km/hr…and is likely to become a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) tomorrow.

• Location of Center/Eye: Along the northern portion of the South Philippine Sea (near 9.3°N 129.3°E)
• Distance 1: 345 km east of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur
• Distance 2: 419 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
• Distance 3: 436 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar

• Over Catanduanes, between 1 to 3 PM  Wednesday (June 02) – with High Strike Probability of 70-80%. 

• Eastern Visayas – beginning tomorrow morning (Tue, Jun 01)
• Bicol Region – beginning tomorrow evening (Tue, Jun 01)

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving NW-ward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea, approaching the coastal areas of Eastern Samar…becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (TS)…about 174 km E of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Jun 01: 10.8°N 127.3°E @ 100 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Makes landfall over Catanduanes while maintaining its NW track and intensifying slightly at near-Typhoon strength…about 27 km E of Caramoan, Camarines Sur [2PM Jun 02: 13.8°N 124.1°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
• THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens while passing very near the coastal areas of Casiguran, Aurora…turns northward…about 101 km E of Casiguran, Aurora [2PM Jun 03: 16.1°N 123.0°E @ 95 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (555 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None