TROPICAL STORM SIONY (ATSANI) ADVISORY NO. 09 [FINAL]

Issued at: 10:00 PM PhT (14:00 GMT) Friday, 06 November 2020
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm SIONY (ATSANI) is now moving out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) after passing very close to Itbayat in the Batanes Group of Islands this morning.

*This is the Final Advisory on this Tropical Cyclone.

24-hr Outlook: TS SIONY (ATSANI) is forecast to turn west to west-southwestward at a forward speed of 15 km/hr through tomorrow evening. It shall weaken rapidly into a minimal Tropical Storm and eventually into a decaying Tropical Depression beyond 24 hours as it collides with an approaching strong, cold surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan).

Where is SIONY (ATSANI)? As of 8:00 PM PhT today, November 06…1200 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the northern edge of the Bashi Channel, or just along the Southern Coast of Taiwan (near 21.8°N 120.3°E)
  • Distance 1: 92 km south of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
  • Distance 2: 195 km northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
  • Distance 3: 361 km north of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-northwest @ 14 kph, towards the South China Sea
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • SATURDAY EVENING: Already outside of PAR as it weakens into a minimal Tropical Storm…moving WSW-ward across the northern part of the South China Sea…about 347 km WSW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan [8PM Nov 07: 20.9°N 117.5°E @ 75 kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accum. (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (355 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (495 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): — km from the center
Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

 

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/signals.jpg)

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