Tropical Depression EMONG Advisory No. 01

24-hr Outlook: TD EMONG is forecast to intensify into a Tropical Storm (TS) tomorrow and will continue to accelerate rapidly northwestward across the Philippine Sea at an increased forward speed of 38 km/hr. It will be approaching the Batanes Group of Islands by tomorrow afternoon (July 05).

Meanwhile, Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W continues to accelerate west-northwestward across the West Philippine Sea, away from the Philippines. At 5pm today, it was located about (13.7N 118.4E). The potential of becoming a Tropical Depression within the next 24 hours is now MEDIUM (35-65% chance).

• Location of Center/Eye: Along the mid-eastern portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 15.2°N 130.6°E)
• Distance 1: 712 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes
• Distance 2: 922 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
• Distance 3: 1,081 km east-southeast of Basco, Batanes

• None

• None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• MONDAY AFTERNOON: Accelerating NNW across the southwestern portion of the North Philippine Sea, approaching the Bashi Channel and becomes a Tropical Storm (TS)…about 278 km ESE of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 05: 19.6°N 124.5°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
• TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens slightly after reaching 75 km/hr…exits the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it approaches the Southern Coast of China…about 408 km NW of Basco, Batanes [2PM Jul 06: 22.6°N 118.8°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (780 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): n/a (— km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None