TYPHOON ROLLY (GONI) ADVISORY NO. 04Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday, 30 October 2020
Next update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Friday, 30 October 2020 |
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Current Status & Outlook | Typhoon ROLLY (GONI) continues to intensify while over the Philippine Sea, nearing Super Typhoon classification as it undergoes extreme Rapid Intensification (RI) over the past 12 hours. The potential landfall area will be on November 01 or 02 over Central Luzon with a high strike probability of 70-80%.
24-hr Outlook: TY ROLLY (GONI) is forecast to continue intensifying rapidly becoming a Category 5 Super Typhoon (260 km/hr) by early tomorrow morning as it begins to slide west to west-southwestward with a forward speed of 15 km/hr across the middle portion of the Central Philippine Sea. |
Where is ROLLY (GONI)? | As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 30…2100 GMT:
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How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 220 kph near the center…Gustiness: 270 kph. |
Past Movement (06 hrs) | West-Southwest @ 15 kph, towards Central Philippine Sea |
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) |
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What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
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Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ |
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details. |
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** |
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. |
Other Storm’s Meteorological Information |
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Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. |
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
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