TYPHOON QUINTA (MOLAVE) ADVISORY NO. 10Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Monday, 26 October 2020
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Tuesday, 27 October 2020 |
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| Current Status and Outlook | Typhoon QUINTA (MOLAVE) has started to move away from the country as it continues to intensify over the West Philippine Sea…expected to move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning.
24-hr Outlook: TY QUINTA (MOLAVE) is forecast to turn west-northwest with a decreased forward speed of 25 km/hr, and could become a Category 2 Typhoon tonight. |
| Where is QUINTA (MOLAVE)? | As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 26…0900 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located over the West Philippine Sea (near 13.5°N 118.3°E), about 200 km west of Lubang Island, Occidental Mindoro or 335 km west-southwest of Metro Manila. |
| How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 150 kph near the center…Gustiness: 185 kph. |
| Past Movement (06 hrs) | West-Northwest @ 28 kph, towards the West Philippine Sea |
| Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) | :: None |
| What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to >100 mm expected in 24 hrs): >> None Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): |
| Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ | :: Coastal Areas of Northern Palawan, Calamian Group, & Occidental Mindoro – Tonight.
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details. |
| 2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** | TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies to a strong Category 2 Typhoon as it moves across the South China Sea, outside of PAR…about 798 km W of Metro Manila [2PM Oct 27: 14.3°N 113.6°E @ 175 kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Category 1 Typhoon as it makes landfall over Vietnam…about 66 km S of Da Nang, Vietnam [2PM Oct 28: 15.5°N 108.2°E @ 150 kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. |
| Other Storm’s Meteorological Info | > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 500 mm [Light to Intense]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 975 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 940 km (Large) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 175 km from the center. |
| Current Summary/Additional Reference Points | Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Mon October 26, 2020 Location of Center/Eye:Near 13.5°N Lat 118.3°E Lon Distance 1:307 km W of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro Distance 2:255 km WSW of Calatagan, Batangas Distance 3: 292 km W of Batangas City, Batangas Distance 4: 246 km WNW of Mamburao, Occidental Mindoro Distance 5: 255 km SW of Subic Bay |
| Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. | |
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.
