Tropical Depression AMANG Advisory No. 02

48-hr Outlook: TD AMANG is forecast to make landfall along Catanduanes on or before midnight tonight and will traverse the coastal waters or shorelines of Partido District (Cam Sur) and Cam Norte tomorrow morning. Light to moderate to at times heavy rains will be expected across Bicol Region tonight until tomorrow evening (Apr 12).  By tomorrow evening, AMANG is forecast to be over the mountainous terrain of Cam Norte and shall weaken into a remnant LPA. On Thursday morning through the evening, AMANG will just drift along the vicinity of Polillo Islands and Northern Quezon (very close to Infanta).

• Location of Center/Eye: Along coastal waters of Eastern Catanduanes (near 13.7°N 124.5°E)
• Distance 1:  35 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes
• Distance 2:  140 km east of Naga City, Camarines Sur
• Distance 3:  110 km northeast of Legazpi City, Albay

• Over Catanduanes late tonight, between 11 AM to 12 AM ~ with High Strike Probability of >90%.

• Bicol Region & Southern Quezon – Tonight until tomorrow evening (Apr 12).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None.

• None.

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• WEDNESDAY EVENING: Weakens into a remnant low pressure while traversing the mountainour terrain of Camarines Norte...moving WNW at 11 kph…about 30 km WNW of Daet, Camarines Norte [8PM Apr 12: 14.2°N 122.7°E @ 35-55 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  MEDIUM
• THURSDAY EVENING: Turns NNW as it lingers and weakens further along the coastal waters of Western Polillo & Infanta, Quezon…moving NNW @ 07 kph…about 30 km N of Infanta, Quezon  [8PM Apr 13: 15.0°N 121.7°E @ 30-45 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 150 mm [Light to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (350 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): —
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  —