Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) Advisory No. 09

Its western & southern rainbands together with its trough (extension) will continue to affectVisayas, MiMaRoPa, portions of the Bicol Region, CaLaBaRZon, Metro Manila, and portions of Central Luzon. Occasional rains with scattered Severe thunderstorms and gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move west-northwestward for the next 12 hours & will turn more to the northwest at a decreased forward speed of 18 km/hr…and is likely to weaken into a Tropical Depression (TD) once it traverses Western Luzon.  Based on its forecast, the core of DANTE will pass very close or make landfall along the eastern shoreline of Oriental Mindoro later this afternoon, then make landfall along Batangas-Cavite Area early tonight. It will then be over Bataan by early tomorrow morning (Jun 03).

• Location of Center/Eye: Over Sibuyan Sea, near the Eastern Coast of Sibuyan Island (12.3°N 122.9°E)
• Distance 1: 75 km east-southeast of Romblon
• Distance 2: 71 km west of Masbate City, Masbate
• Distance 3: 85 km north-northeast of Roxas City, Capiz

• Landfall 03:  Over Romblon Island, between 6 to 7 AM  today – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
• Landfall 04:  Somewhere along Oriental Mindoro or Batangas, between 2 to 5 PM  today – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
• Landfall 05:  Over Bataan, between 12 to 2 AM  tomorrow – with High Strike Probability of 80-90%.

• Visayas and MiMaRoPa – Today.
• Metro Manila, Central & Southern Luzon – beginning Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Over Bataan as it weakens into a TD while moving northward…about 12 km WNW of Balanga City, Bataan [2AM Jun 03: 14.7°N 120.4°E @ 55 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  
• FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Emerges over West Philippine Sea, passing along the western portion of the Balintang & Bashi Channels…about 211 km NW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [2AM Jun 04: 19.7°N 119.2°E @ 45 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
• SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a remnant low (LPA) while accelerating NE-ward across the East Taiwan Sea…about 215 km ENE of Taitung, Taiwan [2AM Jun 05: 23.4°N 123.1°E @ 35 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (480 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None