Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 92W StormWatch No. 01

A broad Tropical Disturbance (aka. LPA) over the Philippine Sea with ID number “92W” – has been moving rapidly towards the Visayas.  This system could become a Tropical Depression (TD) before or upon crossing the Visayas later tonight bringing rainy conditions across the Bicol Region, Visayas, MiMaRoPa, Northern & Northeastern Mindanao this weekend.

• Location of Center: Over the southernmost part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.4°N 130.8°E)
• Distance 1: 559 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
• Distance 2: 645 km east of Tacloban City, Leyte
• Distance 3:  816 km east-southeast of Masbate City, Masbate

• LPA 92W is expected to intensify within the next 12 to 48 hours due to conducive atmospheric environment along its path. However, despite increasing upper-level winds (wind shear) aloft,  this disturbance could become a Tropical Depression (TD) either before or during its passage across the Visayas later this evening or early Sunday (Nov 08).  Kindly refer to our attached StormWatch Track for the forecast wind speeds of this cyclone.
• Current Typhoon Global Models forecast it to traverse Samar, Northern Leyte, Masbate, Northern Panay, & Calamian Group beginning early this evening until Sunday evening (Nov. 08).
• If ever LPA 92W becomes a Tropical Depression (TD), it will be named domestically by PAGASA as “TONYO.”