Tropical Depression ROLLY (GONI) Final Advisory

*This is the Final Advisory on this Tropical Cyclone.

24-hr Outlook: TD ROLLY (GONI) is forecast to regain Tropical Storm (TS) once the upper-level winds relaxes, and shall move westward across the South China Sea, with a forward speed of 19 km/hr.

• Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Scarborough (Panatag) Shoal (near 15.3°N 118.0°E)
• Distance 1: 233 km west-southwest of Alaminos City, Pangasinan
• Distance 2: 279 km west of Tarlac City, Tarlac
• Distance 3: 338 km west-northwest of Metro Manila

• None

• None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Exits PAR as it regains TS classification…about 614 km WSW of Alaminos City, Pangasinan [2PM Nov 03: 14.9°N 114.4°E @ 85 kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM 
• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its strength as it approaches the coastal areas of Eastern Vietnam…about 973 km WNW of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan  [2PM Nov 04: 13.7°N 110.7°E @ 85 kph].  Confidence Level: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (535 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (495 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): — km from the center