Tropical Disturbance (LPA) NENENG StormWatch No. 01

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 97W [NENENG] slowly organizing over the North Philippine Sea as it swiftly moves west-southwest, threatening Extreme Northern Luzon.  The LPA is forecast to traverse Luzon Strait late Saturday or Sunday (Oct 15-16) as a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm.

The presence of this LPA will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring occasional rains and gusty winds (30-60 kph) across Extreme Northern Luzon. Meanwhile, to the south along Central & Southern Luzon, Western Visayas, Palawan, Sulu and Western Mindanao – Southwesterly Windflow is expected to bring rain showers and thunderstorms this weekend.

• Location of Center: Along the southern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 19.3°N 131.3°E)
• Distance 1: 982 km east of Basco, Batanes
• Distance 2: 968 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan
• Distance 3: 975  km east-northeast of Palanan, Isabela

• Global Typhoon Models continue to show this disturbance becoming a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 24 hours.
• Direct effects from this system will start to be felt along Extreme Northern Luzon beginning late Saturday evening (Oct 15), and will continue throughout Sunday and Monday (Oct 16-17).
• The 3-day (72 hr) Forecast shows the system passing over or very close to Batanes or along the Balintang and Bashi Channels on Sunday late afternoon or evening (Oct 16) as a 75-km/hr  Tropical Storm (TS).  Forecast Confidence: LOW.

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