Super Typhoon MAWAR StormWatch No. 02

Super Typhoon (STY) MAWAR has weakened slightly after reaching peak winds of 300 km/hr…now approaching the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it accelerates to the WNW. 

This super cyclone is still far away to directly affect any part of the country. However, the accompanying Monsoon Trough situated along Southern Luzon, MiMaRoPa, Visayas & Mindanao will bring isolated overcast skies with isolated to scattered rain showers & severe thunderstorms across the area.

• Location of Eye/Center: Over the Western Pacific Ocean, east of the Philippine Sea (near 15.5°N 137.2°E)
• Distance 1: 235 km east of PAR.
• Distance 2: 1,525 km east of Naga City, Camarines Sur
• Distance 3: 1,635 km east of Santa Ana, Cagayan

• Will enter the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early tomorrow morning…and will be named locally as “BETTY.”
• Will maintain its generally WNW track, through the next 3 days – with No landfall expected.
• Fluctuations in its Wind Speed are still likely as the system continues to perform multiple Eyewall Replacement Cycles (ERC) every 2-3 days.
• STY MAWAR’s sustained winds are likely to weaken within the next few days due to slightly cooler sea surface temperatures and increasing Vertical Wind Shear.
• The Day 5 to 6 Forecast now shows a slow recurvature towards the Southern Islands of Japan, while others towards Taiwan, However, the forecast confidence remains at less than 30% (Low). 
• The Western Outer Rainbands of MAWAR will start to affect Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, & Ilocos Region beginning Sunday (May 28).
• This system will likely enhance the Southwest Monsoon (#Habagat) beginning Sunday or Monday (May 28/29) across the western sections of the country incl. the National Capital Region.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.