TYPHOON BETTY (MAWAR) ADVISORY NO. 08

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 30 May 2023
Next update: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Wednesday, 31 May 2023
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon (TY) BETTY {MAWAR} has weakened further and remained almost stationary well to the east of Batanes. Its 1,200-km large circulation continues to affect Northern Luzon with Gale-Force to Tropical Storm-Force Winds accompanied with some patches of occasional rain showers.

48-hr Outlook: TY BETTY (MAWAR) is forecast to move northward with a slow forward speed of 7 to 11 kph through Thursday afternoon (June 01). The system will be downgraded into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) throughout the outlook period with forecast 1-min. sustained winds of 110 kph or less. Tropical Storm-Force Winds gusting from 75 to 100 kph will prevail along Batanes-Babuyan Island Group today. 

The presence of this typhoon will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring occasional rains with thunderstorms along the western sections of Visayas and MiMaRoPa. Residents living in hazard-prone areas must take all necessary precautions against floods and landslides along the above-mentioned areas.

Where is BETTY (MAWAR)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 30…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Along the westernmost portion of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.6°N 125.0°E)
  • Distance 1:  310 km east of Basco, Batanes
  • Distance 2:  380 km northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
  • Distance 3:  395 km east-northeast of Calayan Island, Cagayan
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 140 kph near the center…Gustiness: 165 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 03 kph, across the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • Northern Cagayan, Batanes & Babuyan Group – Today through Wednesday (May 31).
  • Ilocos Region, Western CAR – beginning Today through Thursday (June 01).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None.
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal and Beachfront areas of Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Provinces, La Union, Batanes & Babuyan Island Group.

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving North very slowly over the northwestern edge of the North Philippine Sea…weakens to a minimal typhoon (Category 1)…about 390 km ENE of Itbayat, Batanes [2PM May 31: 22.2°N 125.3°E @ 120-150 kph]Forecast Confidence: HIGH
  • THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it moves slowly northward across the East Taiwan Sea…about 425 km E of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM June 01: 24.4°N 125.7°E @ 100-130 kph]Forecast ConfidenceMEDIUM
  • FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while accelerating on a NE track across the Southern Islands of Japan…about 640 km E of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM June 02: 25.8°N 127.9°E @ 95-120 kph]Forecast ConfidenceMEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure:  972 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Large (1,165 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter):  Large (1,200 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  200 km outward from the center.
Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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For more info visit: (http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=MAWAR)

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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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