Tropical Storm DANTE (CHOI-WAN) Advisory No. 06

Its western rainbands & trough (extension) will continue to affect Mindanao, Visayas, and Southern Bicol. Scattered to widespread rain showers & Severe thunderstorms with gusty winds will be expected across these areas today.

24-hr Outlook: TS DANTE is forecast to move northwestward across the southwestern portion of the Central Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 19 km/hr…and is expected to make landfall over or south of Borongan City, Eastern Samar between 7 to 9 PM tonight. The storm will then cross Samar Island late tonight and will pass over or very close to Calbayog City by early tomorrow morning. By 8:00 AM tomorrow morning, DANTE will be in the vicinity of Ticao Island, Masbate with little change in strength.

• Location of Center/Eye: Along the southwesternmost portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.4°N 126.9°E)
• Distance 1: 147 km east-southeast of Guiuan City, Eastern Samar
• Distance 2: 168 km east-northeast of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
• Distance 3: 209 km southeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar

• Landfall 01:  Along Eastern Samar, between 7 to 9 PM  tonight – with High Strike Probability of >90%. 
• Landfall 02:  Over Ticao Island (Masbate), between 7 to 9 AM  tomorrow (Wed, June 02) – with High Strike Probability of 80-90%. 

• Caraga Region – Today.
• Eastern Visayas – beginning Today.
• Bicol Region – beginning Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• WEDNESDAY MORNING: Over Southern Bicol…passing over the island of Ticao (Masbate)…about 28 km E of Masbate City, Masbate [8AM Jun 02: 12.4°N 123.8°E @ 75 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
  
• THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens while in the vicinity of Aurora Memorial National Park, starts to cross Northern Luzon…about 20 km E of Palayan City, Isabela [8AM Jun 03: 15.6°N 121.3°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
• FRIDAY MORNING: Emerges over the Balintang Channel as it starts to recurve North to NNE…about 125 km NNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [8AM Jun 04: 19.6°N 120.3°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Small (425 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (390 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None