Severe Tropical Storm FLORITA (MA-ON) Advisory No. 07

24-hr Outlook: STS FLORITA (MA-ON) is forecast to weaken further and will eventually reach the West Philippine Sea tonight. By tomorrow morning, FLORITA will maintain its WNW track, leave the northwestern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), and re-intensify in the afternoon.

Meanwhile, the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring scattered to occasional rains with some severe thunderstorms across Central Luzon including Metropolitan Manila, MiMaRoPa, CaLaBaRZon, Sulu Archipelago, & Western Visayas today. Risk of flooding and landslides will remain Medium to High.

• Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Mt. Dinawanan, Ilocos Norte (near 18.2°N 120.9°E)
• Distance 1: 32 km east of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
• Distance 2: 89 km northeast of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
• Distance 3: 109 km northwest of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan

• None. Cyclone remains over land.

• Ilocos & Cordillera Regions – between 8PM today to 8PM tomorrow, Wednesday (Aug 24).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• Ilocos Provinces – Tonight.

• Coastal & Beachfront Areas of Ilocos Region.

+Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving WNW across the South China Sea, outside of PAR…re-intensifies back to near-Typhoon strength...about 390 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2PM Aug 24: 19.6°N 117.2°E @ 110 kph].  Forecast Confidence: MEDIUM
• THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Makes landfall along the western part of Guangdong Province (Southern China) as a Category 1 Typhoon…about 293 km WSW of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 25: 21.6°N 111.4°E @ 120 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW
• FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Dissipating over Northern Vietnam, just a minimal Tropical Storm (TS)…about 936 km West of Hong Kong, China [2PM Aug 26: 22.8°N 105.0°E @ 65 kph].  Forecast Confidence: LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter): Average (590 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (610 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 95 km outward from the center