TROPICAL DEPRESSION QUINTA ADVISORY NO. 01Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Friday, 23 October 2020
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 24 October 2020 |
|
|---|---|
| Current Status and Outlook | Tropical Depression QUINTA upgraded from Tropical Disturbance (LPA) continues to organize over the Philippine Sea…remains a threat to Eastern Visayas & Bicol Region.
24-hr Outlook: TD QUINTA is forecast to become a Tropical Storm (TS) tomorrow afternoon and shall move northwestward with a forward speed of 19 km/hr towards central portion of the Central Philippine Sea. |
| Where is QUINTA? | As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 23…0900 GMT. The center was located along the Southeastern Portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 10.5°N 133.2°E), about 819 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar or 845 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte. |
| How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 60 kph. |
| Past Movement (06 hrs) | West-Northwest @ 19 kph, towards Philippine Sea |
| Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s) | :: Over Catanduanes, between 11 PM Sunday evening to 12 AM Monday morning (Oct 25 to 26) – with Medium Strike Probability of 60%. |
| What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Heavy to Extreme Rains (50 mm to >100 mm expected in 24 hrs): >> Bicol Region, Eastern & Northern Samar – beginning Sunday, Oct 25. Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected): |
| Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ | :: None.
+Waves of 3 meters in height is expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas on where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details. |
| 3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** | SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens into a TS as it turns northwestward while over the West Philippine Sea…about 602 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2PM Oct 24: 13.2°N 130.8°E @ 65 kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies and turns westward while accelerating towards Bicol Peninsula…about 204 km E of Bato, Catanduanes [2PM Oct 25: 13.8°N 126.2°E @ 85 kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH MONDAY AFTERNOON: In the vicinity of Northern Occidental Mindoro…about 62 km W of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro [2PM Oct 26: 13.3°N 120.6°E @ 85 kph]. Confidence Level: LOW **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. |
| Other Storm’s Meteorological Info | > 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]
> Minimum Central Pressure: 1005 millibars (hPa) > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 550 km (Small) > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None. |
| Current Summary/Additional Reference Points | Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri October 23, 2020 Location of Center/Eye: Near 10.5°N Lat 133.2°E Lon Distance 1: 787 km ENE of Tandag City, Surigao Del Sur Distance 2: 1074 km ESE of Legazpi City, Albay Distance 3: 1038 km ESE of Virac, Catanduanes Distance 4: 1141 km ESE of Naga City, Camarines Sur Distance 5: 1393 km ESE of Metro Manila |
| Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. | |
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
:: None ::
Image Source: DOST-PAGASA (http://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.
