SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PEPITO (MAN-YI) ADVISORY NO. 08  {FINAL}

Issued at: 3:00 PM PhT (07:00 GMT) Monday, 18 Nov 2024
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon PEPITO (MAN-YI) has weakened into a Severe Tropical Storm as it moved out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).  All DOST-PAGASA Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals have already been lowered.

24-hr Outlook: Severe Tropical Storm PEPITO is expected to move westward across the South China Sea and will be downgraded into a minimal Tropical Storm by tomorrow afternoon (Nov 19).

*This is the Final Advisory on this tropical cyclone.

Where is PEPITO (MAN-YI)? As of 2:00 PM PhT today, Nov 18…0600 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the northern part of the South China Sea  (near 18.4°N 116.8°E)
  • Distance 1:  390 km WNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
  • Distance 2:  515 km SSE of Hong Kong 
  • Distance 3:  620 km NW of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 100 kph near the center…Gustiness: 130 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 24 kph, towards the coastal waters of Hainan Island
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (24 hr. Rain Accumulation of 50 mm to >200 mm expected):

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of more than 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a minimal Tropical Storm as it enter the coastal waters of Hainan Island…about 480 km SSW of Hong Kong  [2PM Nov 19: 18.3°N 112.7°E @ 75-95 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH
  • WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Tracks southward along the eastern offshore areas of Hainan Island, continues to decay…about 710 km SW of Hong Kong  [2PM Nov 20: 17.4°N 109.9°E @ 45-65 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 225 mm [Light to Heavy]
  • Minimum Central Pressure:  994 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (570 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter):  Average (500 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  110 km outward from the center.
Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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For more info visit: (http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=MAN-YI)

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

:: Now lowered.

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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