Typhoon PEPITO (MAN-YI) Advisory No. 07

24-hr Outlook: Typhoon PEPITO is expected to move rapidly across the West Philippine Sea, exiting the western boundary of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this morning. The system will gradually weaken as it tracks westward through the hostile conditions of the South China Sea, eventually dissipating.

• Location of Center/Eye: Over the coastal waters of La Union and Ilocos Sur  (near 16.9°N 120.1°E)
• Distance 1:  45 km NW of San Fernando City, La Union
• Distance 2:  80 km SSW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur 
• Distance 3:  280 km NNW of Metro Manila

• None

• None
• For detailed areas of the affected places, check out DOST-PAGASA Rainfall Accumulation Forecast Page  for more details

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of more than 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• MONDAY EVENING: Weakens to a Category 1 typhoon, as it moves out of the PAR...about 465 km SSE of Hong Kong [8PM Nov 18: 18.6°N 116.0°E @ 120-150 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  MEDIUM
• TUESDAY EVENING: Continue to decay over the South China Sea, along the eastern coastal waters of Hainan Island, just a Tropical Storm…about 445 km SSW of Hong Kong  [8PM Nov 19: 18.8°N 112.2°E @ 75-95 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure:  968 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (575 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter):  Average (560 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  115 km outward from the center.