TYPHOON MARCE (YINXING) ADVISORY NO. 06  **FINAL**

Issued at: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Friday, 08 Nov 2024
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon MARCE (YINXING) has weakened to a Category 2 storm as it accelerates westward across the West Philippine Sea. It is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later this afternoon, with improving weather conditions anticipated in the Ilocos Region today.

This is the final advisory on the 13th Philippine Tropical Cyclone of 2024.

48-hr Outlook: Typhoon MARCE is expected to regain Category 3 status by tomorrow morning as it moves into the South China Sea. It will shift slightly west-northwestward and gradually slow down, weakening to Category 1 by Sunday morning (Nov 9).

Where is MARCE (YINXING)? As of 11:00 AM PhT today, Nov 08…0300 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the West Philippine Sea  (near 18.2°N 118.7°E)
  • Distance 1:  190 km WNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
  • Distance 2:  295 km NW of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
  • Distance 3:  475 km NNW of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 165 kph near the center…Gustiness: 205 kph
Past Movement (06 hrs) West @ 20 kph, towards South China Sea
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • Coastal areas and beachfront areas of the western sections of Northern Luzon.

+Waves of more than 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • SATURDAY MORNING: Re-intensifies into a Category 3 typhoon, as it accelerates westward across the South China Sea, outside of the PAR…about 430 km SSE of Hong Kong, China [8AM Nov 09: 18.6°N 115.0°E @ 185-230 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH
  • SUNDAY MORNING: Gradually slows down while over the South China Sea, and weakens into a Category 1 typhoon…about 360 km S of Hong Kong, China [8AM Nov 10: 19.2°N 113.5°E @ 150-185 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH 

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure:  971 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Small (440 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (540 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  105 km outward from the center.
Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks



For more info visit: (http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=YINXING)

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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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