TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) 93W  STORMWATCH NO. 02

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Thursday, 23 May 2024
Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Friday, 24 May 2024
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 93W has maintained its strength while slowly organizing over the Philippine Sea. It remains a threat to Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region. The latest forecast shows the system intensifying into a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 24 hours, with a possible landfall over Eastern Samar on Saturday morning. It will then traverse Samar Island before moving across the Bicol Region late Saturday through Sunday. This LPA could produce life-threatening floods and landslides along its path due to high Oceanic Heat Content (OHC) over the coastal waters of Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region. Residents must take all necessary precautions for this upcoming rain event.

Where is LPA 93W? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 23…0900 GMT:

  • Location of Eye/Center: Over the South Philippine Sea (near 7.3°N 131.8°E)
  • Distance 1: 615 km east of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur
  • Distance 2: 785 km east-southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
  • Distance 3: 870 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 35 kph near the center…Gustiness: 55 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northwest @ 26 kph, towards Eastern Visayas & Bicol Region.
Forecast Highlights
  • The latest 3-Day Forecast Track shows the system becoming a TD as it makes landfall over Eastern Samar on Saturday morning, traversing Samar Island throughout the day.  On Saturday evening through Sunday morning, 93W will slow down while moving  NNW to North across the Bicol Region. It is likely that this LPA will grow into a TD or TS upon traversing Samar and Bicol Area.
  • During the passage of LPA 93W, its  rainbands will bring occasional rains and gusty winds, accompanied with Severe Thunderstorms over the Bicol Region, Some parts of Visayas, and Northeastern Mindanao beginning tomorrow until Sunday (May 24-26). Meanwhile, early next week, as the system starts recurving away from the Philippine Sea, the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) is likely to be enhanced and bring occasional rains along the western sections of the country.
  • Once this LPA becomes a TD, Tropical Cyclone Advisories will commence and our national weather bureau PAGASA will name the system domestically as AGHON.”
This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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