TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENER STORMWATCH NO. 01

Issued at: 11:45 PM PhT (15:45 GMT) Monday, 16 Sept 2024
Next update: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Tuesday, 17 Sept 2024
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Disturbance 98W, located east of Cagayan Valley, has intensified into Tropical Depression GENER. The depression is expected to make landfall in Northern Luzon within the next several hours, bringing with it heavy rainfall.  Displaced rainbands will spread across Northern and portions of Central Luzon, leading to rainfall accumulations of 50-200 millimeters within the next 12 to 24 hours. By tomorrow morning, the center of Gener is projected to emerge along the coastal waters of the Ilocos Region as it undergoes reorganization over the West Philippine Sea. 

Meanwhile, the combined influence of Tropical Depression Gener and Tropical Storm Pulasan will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat). This will result in occasional rain showers and gusty winds reaching up to 60 kilometers per hour across the western sections of the country through Wednesday, September 18.

Where is  GENER? As of 8:00 PM PhT today, September 16…1200 GMT:

  • Location of Center: Approaching the coastal waters of Eastern Isabela  (near 17.5°N 123.8°E)
  • Distance 1:  160 km east-northeast of Palanan, Isabela
  • Distance 2:  220 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
  • Distance 3: 440 km northeast of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 16 kph, towards the Northern Luzon
Forecast Highlights
  • TD GENER is forecast to quickly traverse Northern Luzon, passing along Isabela, Mountain Province, Ifugao, and Ilocos Sur early Tuesday morning, Sept 17.
  • The 36-hour forecast shows TD GENER becoming a Tropical Storm as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday morning, Sept. 18.
  • The rainbands of this TD will bring 50 to 200 mm of rainfall (moderate, heavy to intense) across Northern & Central Luzon for the next 24 hours.
  • During the passage of TD GENER from September 17 to 18, the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will be enhanced, and bring occasional rains, severe thunderstorms, and gusty winds of up to 60 kph across the western sections of Central Luzon, Metro Manila, MiMaRoPa, Western Visayas, Negros Island Region, Zamboanga Peninsula, and the Bicol Region. 
  • The risk of flooding and landslides will be moderate to high.
This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL



Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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