Tropical Storm ENTENG (YAGI) Advisory No. 07

48-hr Outlook: TS ENTENG is expected to move west to west-northwest at a slow pace, gradually gaining strength throughout the forecast period. It is anticipated to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning. ENTENG is projected to reach typhoon classification by Thursday, September 5, as it continues toward Hainan Island and the Leizhou Peninsula in Southern China.

The circulation of TS ENTENG, its trough, and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring occasional rains and gusty winds across the western sections of Luzon including NCR, Occidental Mindoro and Lubang Island tonight & tomorrow. Residents are advised to take all necessary precautions against flash floods, landslides, and lahars associated with these conditions.

• Location of Center/Eye: Over the northwestern portion of the West Philippine Sea (near 18.6°N 118.9°E)
• Distance 1:  185 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
• Distance 2:  505 km north-northwest of Metro Manila
• Distance 3:  645 km southeast of Hong Kong, China

• None

• None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON:  Becomes a Severe Tropical Storm outside of PAR, about 350 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2PM Sept 04: 19.1°N 117.4°E @ 100-130 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  HIGH
• THURSDAY AFTERNOON:  Rapidly intensifies into a Category 2 Typhoon, turns westward across the northern part of the South China Sea…about 365 km SSE of Hong Kong  [2PM Sept 05: 19.3°N 115.3°E @ 165-205 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  HIGH
• FRIDAY AFTERNOON:  Maintains its strength as it bears down the coast of Northern Hainan while moving WNW…about 380 km SW of Hong Kong  [2PM Sept 06: 20.0°N 111.5°E @ 165-205 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure:  990 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (800 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (560 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  — km outward from the center.