Tropical Storm ENTENG (YAGI) Advisory No. 05

48-hr Outlook: TS ENTENG is expected to pass close to Aparri, Cagayan early tomorrow morning, and will exit the landmass of Northern Luzon before noon tomorrow. By 2 PM tomorrow, ENTENG is forecast to be over the West Philippine Sea, moving westward, and will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Wednesday morning (Sept 04).

The circulation of TS ENTENG, its trough, and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will bring moderate to intense rainfall and severe thunderstorms across Western Visayas, MiMaRoPa, the Sulu Archipelago, the rest of Luzon, including Metro Manila, tonight. Residents are advised to take all necessary precautions against flash floods, landslides, and lahars associated with these conditions.

• Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Ilagan City, Isabela  (near 17.2°N 122.0°E)
• Distance 1:  55 km south-southeast of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
• Distance 2:  185 km southeast of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
• Distance 3:  320 km northeast of Metro Manila

• Currently Over Land.

• Northern Luzon ~ Tonight.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• TUESDAY AFTERNOON:  Turns westward upon emerging over the West Philippine Sea…becomes a Severe Tropical Storm, about 115 km WNW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte  [2PM Sept 03: 18.9°N 119.8°E @ 95-120 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  HIGH
• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON:  Exits PAR as it becomes a Typhoon…about 320 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte  [2PM Sept 04: 19.1°N 117.7°E @ 140-165 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  HIGH
• THURSDAY AFTERNOON:  Slows down as it moves towards Hainan Island-Leizhou Peninsula Area, strenthens into to a major Typhoon …about 285 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte  [2PM Sept 05: 19.0°N 115.6°E @ 205-250 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure:  994 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (420 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  — km outward from the center.