Tropical Depression ENTENG Advisory No. 02

48-hr Outlook: TD ENTENG is forecast to pass over Catanduanes in the next few hours, and traverse the Partido District of Camarines Sur on or before midnight.  By 2 AM tomorrow (Sept 02), Enteng will emerge along the coastal waters of Daet, Camarines Norte.  It will then start to track northward, making landfall over Northern Aurora tomorrow evening as a Tropical Storm.  The storm is expected to weaken into a TD upon traversing the mountainous terrain of Cagayan Valley, and will pass very close to Tuguegarao City by early Tuesday morning.  By Tuesday afternoon, Enteng will emerge over the coastal waters of Ilocos Norte, regaining TS status as it tracks west-northwest across the West Philippine Sea.

The presence of TD ENTENG will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) and bring moderate, heavy to intense rainfall with severe thunderstorms across the whole of Visayas, MiMaRoPa, Caraga, Sulu Archipelago, Metro Manila, & CaLaBaRZon today and tomorrow. Again, please take all necessary precautions against flashfloods and landslides including lahars that will be brought about by the monsoon.

• Location of Center/Eye: Along Albay Gulf (near 13.3°N 125.2°E)
• Distance 1:  115 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes
• Distance 2:  160 km east of Legazpi City, Albay
• Distance 3:  220 km east of Naga City, Camarines Sur

• Over Catanduanes between 8 to 9 PM tonight ~ with High Strike Probability of 90-95%%.
• Over Coastal Areas of Partido District between 10 PM to 12 AM tonight ~ with High Strike Probability of 90-95%.

• Bicol Region & Southern Quezon ~ Tonight until Tomorrow (Sept 02).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• MONDAY AFTERNOON: Approaching the coastal areas of Northern Aurora, becomes a TS…about 70 km SSE of Casiguran, Aurora  [2PM Sept 02: 15.7°N 122.4°E @ 65-85 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW
• TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Emerges over the coastal waters of Ilocos Norte after crossing Cagayan Valley…about 50 km NW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte  [2PM Sept 03: 18.9°N 120.5°E @ 65-85 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW
• WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Turns westward as it traverses the West Philippine Sea…about to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), intensifies slightly…about 210 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte  [2PM Sept 04: 18.8°N 118.7°E @ 75-95 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure:  1000 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (520 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): — (— km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  — km outward from the center.