Tropical Storm EMONG (CO-MAY) Advisory No. 03

24-hr Outlook: TS EMONG will continue to weaken as it crosses the Calayan, Babuyan, and Batanes Islands this afternoon while accelerating north-northeastward. By Saturday morning, it is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as a downgraded Tropical Depression.

Meanwhile, the combined presence of Tropical Cyclones EMONG and DANTE will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat), bringing intermittent light to moderate, and at times heavy to torrential rainfall across the western sections of the country—including MIMAROPA, Western Luzon, Western Visayas, and the western portions of Bicol—today.

• Location of Center/Eye: Over Baruyen, Ilocos Norte (near 18.5°N 120.7°E)
• Distance 1:  15 km SW of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
• Distance 2:  110 km NNE of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
• Distance 3:  255 km SSW of Basco, Batanes 

• None (system now over land)

• Ilocos Region and Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR).
• In other areas for the next 2 to 3 days,  check out DOST-PAGASA Rainfall Accumulation Forecast Page  for more details

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• The coastal and beachfront areas of Cagayan Valley, Ilocos Region, & Western Coastal Areas of Central Luzon.

+Waves of 1 to 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• SATURDAY MORNING:  Gradually weakens into a Tropical Depression after exiting the PAR…about 355 km ENE of Taipei, Taiwan  [8AM Jul 26: 25.8°N 125.0°E @ 55-75 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  MEDIUM
• SUNDAY MORNING:  Weakens into a remnant low pressure while moving over Okinawa…about 710 km ENE of Taipei, Taiwan  [8AM Jul 27: 27.1°N 128.3°E @ 35-55 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 200 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
• Minimum Central Pressure:  989 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Small (435 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter):  Average (600 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  — km outward from the center.