Tropical Storm EGAY (DOKSURI) StormWatch No. 04

EGAY (DOKSURI) approaching Severe Tropical Storm (STS) classification while intensifying over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea in a slow, westerly track. Its westernmost rainbands are now generating severe thunderstorms across the Bicol Region and Samar Provinces.  The latest 5-day forecast continues to show a path towards Taiwan, and shall pass over the island nation on Thursday morning (July 27), with low forecast confidence.

• Location of Eye/Center: Over the middle portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 14.6°N 129.9°E)
• Distance 1:  730 km east of Naga City, Camarines Sur
• Distance 2:  960 km east of Quezon City, NCR
• Distance 3:  625 km east of Virac, Catanduanes

• Latest 5-day Forecast including the Global Typhoon Model Run (as of 12 GMT 22 July) continues to show a northwesterly track towards Taiwan, with Potential Landfall over the island nation on the late evening of July 26 or morning of July 27.
• Extreme Rapid Intensification (ERI) of this system cannot be ruled out due to improving sea and atmospheric conditions along the path of TS Egay (Doksuri). Forecast to become a Severe Tropical Storm today and into a Typhoon on Monday morning (July 24).
• This system is likely to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (#Habagat) and bring scattered to occasional rain showers & severe thunderstorms across the western sections of the country beginning today or tomorrow (July 23-24) and will persist until Thursday or Friday (July 27-28). The threat of flooding, landslides, and other related hydrometeorological hazards are likely along these areas. Please take all necessary precautions.
• Forecast to exit the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday, July 27.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.