TYPHOON AGHON (EWINIAR) ADVISORY NO. 11 {Final}

Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 28 May 2024
Current Status & Outlook Typhoon AGHON (EWINIAR) is rapidly accelerating northeastward across the North Philippine Sea and is expected to weaken further. It will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow afternoon.

This is the Final Update on the 1st Philippine Tropical Cyclone of 2024.

24-hr Outlook:  AGHON is forecast to weaken into a severe tropical storm after leaving the PAR. It will then transition into an extratropical cyclone as it races rapidly northeast.

Where is AGHON (EWINIAR)? As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 28…09:00 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: Over the southwestern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.4°N 127.4°E)
  • Distance 1:  560 km east of Basco, Batanes
  • Distance 2:  590 km east-northeast of Aparri, Cagayan
  • Distance 3:  935 km northeast of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 130 kph near the center…Gustiness: 160 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Northeast @ 32 kph, towards the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • None
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Exits PAR as it weakens into an STS, while accelrating NE-ward across the Sea south of Japan…about 1,070 km E of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM May 29: 25.3°N 132.2°E @ 110-140 kph]Forecast ConfidenceHIGH

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 350 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure:  976 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (710 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter):  Small (445 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  55 km outward from the center.
Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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For more info visit: (http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=EWINIAR)

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

:: None.

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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