TYPHOON AGHON (EWINIAR) ADVISORY NO. 09Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Monday, 27 May 2024
Next update: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Tuesday, 28 May 2024 |
|
|---|---|
| Current Status & Outlook | Typhoon AGHON (EWINIAR) is weakening despite favorable conditions. It’s losing strength and its eye has disappeared as it moves northeastward across the Central Philippine Sea. This unexpected turn is caused by increasing winds high in the atmosphere, known as Vertical Wind Shear (VWS). Warm Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs), high Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential (TCHP), and good outflow typically fuel typhoon growth, but in this case, the strong wind shear is disrupting Aghon’s development.
48-hr Outlook: Over the next 24 hours, Aghon is expected to hold steady or even strengthen slightly as it accelerates northeastward away from Luzon. However, on Wednesday afternoon (May 29th), as the typhoon nears the edge of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), unfavorable atmospheric conditions will weaken Aghon significantly, potentially downgrading it to a minimal Category 1 typhoon. Even though Typhoon AGHON itself is moving away, its outer rainbands will continue to bring cloudy skies with periods of severe thunderstorms to the eastern sections of Central and Northern Luzon tonight. Residents in these areas are advised to take necessary precautions against potential flooding, landslides, and lahars. |
| Where is AGHON (EWINIAR)? | As of 5:00 PM PhT today, May 27…09:00 GMT:
|
| How strong is it? | Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 160 kph near the center…Gustiness: 195 kph. |
| Past Movement (06 hrs) | Northeast @ 17 kph, towards the North Philippine Sea. |
| Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s) |
|
| What Philippine areas will be directly affected? | Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):
Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
|
| Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+ |
+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates for more details. |
| 2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary** |
**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time. |
| Other Storm’s Meteorological Information |
|
| Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information. | |
Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)
Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks
For more info visit: (http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=EWINIAR)
PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)
