Typhoon LEON (KONG-REY) Advisory No. 05

48-hr Outlook: Typhoon LEON is expected to shift north-northwest as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early tomorrow morning, likely brushing past the coastal areas of Fujian and Zhejiang Provinces by midday. By tomorrow afternoon, LEON will be near Wenzhou City, weakening to a Severe Tropical Storm. By Saturday afternoon, the storm is expected to begin its extratropical transition as it moves east-northeast toward Western Kyushu. 

• Location of Center/Eye: Over Taitung County, Taiwan (near 23.1°N 121.3°E)
• Distance 1:  45 km south-southeast of Taitung City, Taiwan
• Distance 2:  265 km north-northwest of Itbayat, Batanes
• Distance 3:  950 km north of Metro Manila

• None

• None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

• None

• Along the coastal and beachfront areas of Batanes Island Group.

+Waves of more than 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headed. Kindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

• FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens rapidly into a Severe Tropical Storm as it grazes the coastal areas of Zheijiang Province, starts to recurve towards the north to north-northeast…about 05 km NE of Wenzhou, China [2PM Nov 01: 28.1°N 121.0°E @ 110-140 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  MEDIUM.
• SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Transforming into an Extratropical Cyclone (XT) while approaching the western coast of Kyushu, Japan, accelerates ENE-ward…about 85 km SSW of Nagasaki, Japan  [2PM Nov 02: 32.0°N 129.6°E @ 85-100 kph].  Forecast Confidence:  LOW.  

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

• 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 520 mm [Light to Extreme]
• Minimum Central Pressure:  947 millibars (hPa)
• Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Large (1,150 km)
• Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Average (880 km)
• Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  285 km outward from the center.