TROPICAL STORM ENTENG (YAGI) ADVISORY NO. 06

Issued at: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Tuesday, 03 Sept 2024
Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday, 03 Sept 2024
Current Status & Outlook Tropical Storm ENTENG (YAGI) has moved over the West Philippine Sea after crossing Cagayan Valley and the Ilocos Provinces. The storm has weakened slightly due to land interaction but is expected to regain strength, with the potential to intensify into a Severe Tropical Storm within the next 24 to 36 hours. Its eastern rainbands will continue to bring occasional rain and gusty winds to the Ilocos Provinces today. 

48-hr Outlook: TS ENTENG is expected to move northwest across the northern part of the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early tomorrow morning as it continues to intensify. By Thursday morning, the storm is projected to turn west and rapidly strengthen into a Category 1 Typhoon with winds reaching 150 km/h, as it heads toward Hainan Island and the Leizhou Peninsula in Southern China.

The circulation of TS ENTENG, its trough, and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring occasional rains and gusty winds across the western sections of Luzon including NCR, Occidental Mindoro and Lubang Island today. Residents are advised to take all necessary precautions against flash floods, landslides, and lahars associated with these conditions.

Where is ENTENG (YAGI)? As of 5:00 AM today, Sept 03…2100 GMT:

  • Location of Center/Eye: In the vicinity of Currimao, Ilocos Norte  (near 18.0°N 120.5°E)
  • Distance 1:  25 km south-southwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
  • Distance 2:  180 km north of Baguio City, Benguet
  • Distance 3:  385 km north of Metro Manila
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center…Gustiness: 85 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) West-Northwest @ 19 kph, towards West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Major Landfall Area(s)
  • System over Land.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected? Heavy to Extreme Rainfall (50 mm to >100 mm expected for 24 hrs):

  • None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):

  • None
Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+
  • None

+Waves of 3 meters in height are expected in storm surge-prone areas, particularly in coastal areas where the Tropical Cyclone is headedKindly visit the PAGASA Storm Surge Updates  for more details.

3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**
  • WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING:  Re-intensifies as it exits the northwestern border of the PAR, about 230 km WNW of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte [2AM Sept 04: 19.2°N 118.7°E @ 85-100 kph]Forecast Confidence MEDIUM
  • THURSDAY EARLY MORNING:  Rapidly intensifies into a strong Category 1 Typhoon, as it turns westward across the northern part of the South China Sea…about 425 km SSE of Hong Kong  [2AM Sept 05: 19.1°N 116.2°E @ 150-185 kph]Forecast ConfidenceLOW
  • FRIDAY EARLY MORNING:  Intensifies rapidly into a Category 3 Typhoon as it approaches the coastal waters of Eastern Hainan while maintaining its westerly track…about 365 km SSW of Hong Kong  [2AM Sept 06: 19.2°N 113.3°E @ 205-250 kph]Forecast ConfidenceLOW

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hr per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm’s Meteorological Information
  • 24-hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation):  25 to 525 mm [Light to Extreme]
  • Minimum Central Pressure:  1000 millibars (hPa)
  • Size of Rain Circulation (in Diameter):  Average (540 km)
  • Size of Wind Circulation (55-kph Wind Diameter): Small (330 km)
  • Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts):  — km outward from the center.
Disclaimer: Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2k)

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Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA (https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin)

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