TROPICAL DEPRESSION EGAY (DOKSURI) STORMWATCH NO. 03

Issued at: 2:00 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Saturday, 22 July 2023
Next update: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Saturday, 22 July 2023
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W was upgraded to a Tropical Cyclone yesterday, under Tropical Depression (TD) classification while remaining almost stationary over the Philippine Sea.  It is now known globally as “DOKSURI” {pronounced as “tok-suree”} – a Korean name for Eagle. The local name of this system as issued by DOST-PAGASA is “EGAY”. Latest 5-day forecast now shows a path towards Taiwan, and shall pass over the island nation on Thursday early morning (July 27), with low forecast confidence.

Where is EGAY (DOKSURI)? As of 11:00 PM PhT last night, July 21…1500 GMT:

  • Location of Eye/Center: Over the eastern portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 13.9°N 132.5°E)
  • Distance 1:  1,005 km east of Naga City, Camarines Sur
  • Distance 2:  1,245 km east of Quezon City, NCR
  • Distance 3:  900 km east of Virac, Catanduanes
How strong is it? Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.
Past Movement (06 hrs) Quasi-Stationary over the Philippine Sea.
Forecast Highlights
  • Latest 5-day Forecast including the latest Global Typhoon Model Run (as of 12 GMT 21 July) continues to show a NNW track towards Taiwan, with Potential Landfall over the island nation on the evening of July 26 or early morning of July 27.
  • Extreme Rapid Intensification (ERI) of this system cannot be ruled out due to improving sea and atmospheric conditions along the path of TD Egay (Doksuri). Forecast to become a Tropical Storm later today and into a Typhoon around tomorrow afternoon, Sunday (July 23).
  • This system is likely to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (#Habagat) and bring scattered to occasional rain showers & thunderstorms across the western sections of the country beginning Sunday or Monday (July 23-24) and will persist until Friday or Saturday (July 28-29).
  • Forecast to exit the northern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday, July 27.
This StormWatch is valid for the next 24 hours.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Typhoon2000 (T2K)

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) Integrated Multi-Agency Tracks

For more info visit: (http://www.typhoon2000.ph/multi/?name=DOKSURI)

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PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL

:: None.

Image/Screenshot Source: DOST-PAGASA ()

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