Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W StormWatch No. 02

Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W is still organizing over the Philippine Sea, with its center reforming to the east-northeast of its previous location during the past 6 hours.  Its development into a Tropical Depression (TD) is likely within the next 06 to 24 hours.  Latest 5-day forecast from the Global Typhoon Models now show a path towards the Batanes-Okinawa Area by early next week (July 24-26), but with low confidence.

• Location of Eye/Center: Over the eastern portion of the Central Philippine Sea (near 13.0°N 133.4°E)
• Distance 1: 880 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
• Distance 2: 1,050 km east Legazpi City, Albay
• Distance 3: 1,000 km east of Virac, Catanduanes

• Latest 5-day Global Typhoon Model Run (00 GMT 21 July) now shows a turn towards the NNW, with Potential Landfall Areas somewhere along Batanes-Taiwan-Okinawa Area on July 24 to 26.
• This LPA is likely to develop into a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 06 to 24 hours, and will be locally named by PAGASA as “EGAY“.
• Extreme Rapid Intensification (ERI) of this system cannot be ruled out due to improving sea and atmospheric conditions along the path of LPA 98W.
• This system is likely to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (#Habagat) and bring scattered to occasional rain showers & thunderstorms across the western sections of the country beginning Sunday or Monday (July 23-24).

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.