Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W StormWatch No. 01

An area of convection east of Surigao Del Norte known as Tropical Disturbance (LPA) 98W is slowly organizing and is likely to become a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours. This LPA has the potential of posing a serious threat to Northern & Central Luzon early next week (July 24-25).

• Location of Eye/Center: Over the northeastern portion of the South Philippine Sea (near 9.9°N 132.0°E)
• Distance 1: 710 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Norte
• Distance 2: 740 km east-southeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
• Distance 3: 940 km east-southeast of Virac, Catanduanes

• The Global Typhoon Models continues to show higher uncertainty during the Day 4 & 5 Forecasts (July 23-24), with a very large disparity of the Potential Landfall Area from Central Luzon up to Taiwan-Okinawa Area.
• This LPA is likely to develop into a Tropical Depression (TD) within the next 24 to 48 hours, and will be locally named by PAGASA as “EGAY“.
• Extreme Rapid Intensification (ERI) of this system cannot be ruled out due to improving sea and atmospheric conditions along the path of LPA 98W.
• This system is likely to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (#Habagat) and bring scattered to occasional rain showers & thunderstorms across the western sections of the country this weekend through early next week.

Information based on data collected by Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. Typhoon2000 (T2k) shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.